ATLANTIC MONTHLY INFORMS READERS: COAL IS THE ONLY ANSWER
Wednesday, November 10th, 2010James Fallows was a 1970s Naderite who became President Jimmy Carter’s chief speechwriter – before blazing a now-familiar path of jumping ship and writing a long magazine article about what was wrong with Carter’s Presidency.
Fallows landed on his feet, going on to become the principle editor of The Atlantic Monthly. Over the decades he has become an expert on computers, learned to fly an airplane, and made countless trips to Japan and China telling us what’s going on over there. Still, he has never lost that English-major naiveté or that 1970s mentality, which is the only possible explanation for the 8,000-word cover story in this month’s Atlantic which will probably stand as a monument to the American intelligentsia’s failure to grasp the significance of nuclear energy.
Briefly, the argument of “Dirty Coal, Clean Future,” is this: We’re going to have to live with coal. There is no other choice. It’s the future. Fallows is being hard-headed here, you see. He’s telling his equally uninformed audience that wind and solar are never going to make it. They’ll never be able to run an industrial society. Thus, the only realistic alternative is to find a way to burn coal without producing carbon dioxide – bury it or something. The Chinese are making a lot of progress in this area. They’re doing better than we are. That’s the story.
What happened to nuclear energy? As far as Fallows is concerned, it exists only on some far distant planet. He makes a few passing references, the first coming from Amory Lovins, which shows you where that is headed. They do seem to use a lot of nuclear in France, don’t they? Well, that’s not relevant to us.
Fallows recounts his various trips to China, name-dropping – Thomas-Friedman-style – the various Chinese officials with whom he has conferred. Yet somehow in all his travels he has never noticed that China is building 30 nuclear reactors, including 20 of their own design. The Chinese have almost completed the world’s first Westinghouse AP-1000, a model for which our Nuclear Regulatory Commission hasn’t even completed design review. Westinghouse has been running big ads about the project – “on time and on budget” – in American magazines. It’s hard to miss.
What comes blazing through the entire article, however, is Fallows’ appalling ignorance – even lack of curiosity – about nuclear. Here’s the key paragraph:
[A]fter a century in which medical diagnosis and treatment, computer and communications systems, aerospace and nanotech industries, and nearly every other form of technology have routinely achieved the magical, energy production is essentially what it was in the time of James Watt. With the main exception of nuclear-power plants and the hoped-for future exception of practical nuclear-fusion systems, we mostly create electricity by burning something that was once underground—coal, oil, natural gas—to boil water and turn turbines with the steam. . . . If the power plant of 10 years from now is even slightly more efficient than today’s, that will be a major achievement. . . . A breakthrough is what it would take to move beyond reliance on coal.
Did you absorb all that? Power plant technology hasn’t really changed since James Watt. Nuclear energy – whatever that is – is some kind of exception, but that’s not important. What we really need is a breakthrough that will allow us to generate electricity without producing all that carbon dioxide. That we get 20 percent of our electricity from nuclear, that France gets 80 percent, that France, Russia, Japan and Korea are selling nuclear reactors as fast as they can to Pakistan, Indonesia, Sri Lanka, Morocco, Egypt, Jordan, South Africa, Brazil, Venezuela – well, that’s somebody else’s issue. Maybe Scientific American can do a story.
Nuclear energy was the most extraordinary scientific discovery of the 20th century. All chemical reactions – including coal burning – involve transformations of matter into energy, according to Einstein’s E – mc2, in the electrons that surround the nucleus. But the electrons comprise less than 0.01 percent of the mass of the atom. The other 99.99 percent is in the nucleus. Therefore, the E=mc2 transformations in the nucleus yield 2 million times as much energy from the same weight or volume of raw material. Does that sound like a breakthrough? Does the elimination of carbon dioxide and other “wastes” from the process sound like a breakthrough as well?
It’s worth remembering that it was Jimmy Carter who got cold feet about reprocessing and saddled us with the everlasting problem of “nuclear waste.” It was also Carter who promised to give American energy independence by doubling our consumption of coal from 500 million to one billion tons a year by 2000 – a promise that was exactly fulfilled.
It’s nice to see Carter’s former speechwriter continuing his legacy.
